settled-reach/wiki/economics/schema.md

# Commodity Catalog — Schema Specification

Definitive schema for #804 (systems.db extension), TOML field spec, and validation rules.

**Decisions:** D-173, D-177, D-178, D-182

---

## 1. SQL Schema (for #804)

```sql
-- =========================================================================
-- Compiled from wiki/economics/commodities.toml
-- =========================================================================

CREATE TABLE commodities (
    commodity_id TEXT PRIMARY KEY,
    name TEXT NOT NULL,
    tier TEXT NOT NULL CHECK(tier IN (
        'raw', 'intermediate', 'final',
        'service_professional', 'service_luxury'
    )),
    elasticity TEXT NOT NULL CHECK(elasticity IN (
        'perfectly_inelastic', 'inelastic', 'unit_elastic', 'elastic'
    )),
    base_price REAL NOT NULL CHECK(base_price > 0),
    bulk_class TEXT NOT NULL CHECK(bulk_class IN (
        'bulk', 'liquid', 'perishable', 'standard', 'compact',
        'precision', 'oversized', 'non_physical'
    )),
    unit TEXT NOT NULL CHECK(unit IN ('tonnes', 'units', 'contracts')),
    production_ubiquity TEXT NOT NULL CHECK(production_ubiquity IN (
        'ubiquitous', 'common', 'regional', 'concentrated', 'monopolistic'
    )),
    demand_model TEXT NOT NULL CHECK(demand_model IN (
        'market', 'utility', 'compliance'
    )),
    commission_certified INTEGER NOT NULL DEFAULT 0,
    compact_contested INTEGER NOT NULL DEFAULT 0,
    shadow_viable INTEGER NOT NULL DEFAULT 0,
    panic_threshold_weeks INTEGER NOT NULL DEFAULT 0 CHECK(panic_threshold_weeks >= 0),
    description TEXT
);

-- =========================================================================
-- Compiled from wiki/economics/production_chains.toml
-- =========================================================================

CREATE TABLE production_chains (
    chain_id TEXT PRIMARY KEY,
    output_commodity TEXT NOT NULL REFERENCES commodities(commodity_id),
    output_quantity REAL NOT NULL DEFAULT 1.0 CHECK(output_quantity > 0),
    location_bound INTEGER NOT NULL DEFAULT 0,
    description TEXT
);

CREATE TABLE chain_inputs (
    chain_id TEXT NOT NULL REFERENCES production_chains(chain_id) ON DELETE CASCADE,
    commodity_id TEXT NOT NULL REFERENCES commodities(commodity_id),
    quantity REAL NOT NULL CHECK(quantity > 0),
    PRIMARY KEY (chain_id, commodity_id)
);

-- =========================================================================
-- Indexes
-- =========================================================================

CREATE INDEX idx_commodities_tier ON commodities(tier);
CREATE INDEX idx_commodities_ubiquity ON commodities(production_ubiquity);
CREATE INDEX idx_commodities_demand ON commodities(demand_model);
CREATE INDEX idx_chains_output ON production_chains(output_commodity);
CREATE INDEX idx_chain_inputs_commodity ON chain_inputs(commodity_id);
```

### Alignment notes for server team

- Every column maps 1:1 from a TOML field. No computed columns.
- Booleans are INTEGER (0/1) — standard SQLite convention, consistent with existing schema (`inhabited`, `asteroid_belt`, etc.).
- FK constraints enforce referential integrity at the DB level.
- `chain_inputs` composite PK: one commodity appears at most once per chain (Leontief fixed-coefficient — one coefficient per input per chain).
- `panic_threshold_weeks` is integer ≥ 0. Zero means no panic behavior. Non-zero triggers the stockpile-target panic mechanism at runtime when actual stockpile falls below this threshold.

---

## 2. TOML Field Specification

### commodities.toml

| Field | Type | Required | Constraint | Source |
|-------|------|----------|------------|--------|
| *TOML key* | string | yes | `[a-z][a-z0-9_]*` (snake_case slug) | ID |
| `name` | string | yes | non-empty, Title Case | display |
| `tier` | enum | yes | `raw`, `intermediate`, `final`, `service_professional`, `service_luxury` | D-173 |
| `elasticity` | enum | yes | `perfectly_inelastic`, `inelastic`, `unit_elastic`, `elastic` | D-173 (4 classes) |
| `base_price` | float | yes | > 0 | Tractus equilibrium |
| `bulk_class` | enum | yes | `bulk`, `liquid`, `perishable`, `standard`, `compact`, `precision`, `oversized`, `non_physical` | transport cost |
| `unit` | enum | yes | `tonnes`, `units`, `contracts` | quantity basis |
| `production_ubiquity` | enum | yes | `ubiquitous`, `common`, `regional`, `concentrated`, `monopolistic` | B-S init guidance |
| `demand_model` | enum | yes | `market`, `utility`, `compliance` | B-S demand floors |
| `commission_certified` | bool | yes | true/false | Gestalt political |
| `compact_contested` | bool | yes | true/false | Gestalt political |
| `shadow_viable` | bool | yes | true/false | Gestalt political |
| `panic_threshold_weeks` | int | yes | ≥ 0 | B-S panic mechanism |
| `description` | string | no | — | flavor text |

### production_chains.toml

| Field | Type | Required | Constraint | Source |
|-------|------|----------|------------|--------|
| *TOML key* | string | yes | `[a-z][a-z0-9_]*` (snake_case slug) | chain ID |
| `output` | string | yes | must exist in commodities.toml | commodity_id ref |
| `output_quantity` | float | no | > 0, default 1.0 | yield per cycle |
| `inputs` | array | yes | ≥ 1 entry, each `{ commodity, quantity }` | recipe |
| `inputs[].commodity` | string | yes | must exist in commodities.toml | commodity_id ref |
| `inputs[].quantity` | float | yes | > 0 | input coefficient |
| `location_bound` | bool | no | default false | geographic constraint |
| `description` | string | no | — | human-readable recipe |

---

## 3. Bulk Class Transport Multipliers

| Class | Multiplier | Gate cost at 8% base | 5-hop price | 10-hop price | Commodities |
|-------|-----------|---------------------|-------------|--------------|-------------|
| `bulk` | 1.2x | 9.6%/hop | 1.58x | 2.50x | ore, stone, timber |
| `liquid` | 1.3x | 10.4%/hop | 1.64x | 2.69x | water, chemical_feedstock, fusion_fuel |
| `perishable` | 1.8x | 14.4%/hop | 1.97x | 3.87x | agricultural_produce |
| `standard` | 1.0x | 8.0%/hop | 1.47x | 2.16x | refined_metals, alloys, food, chemicals, textiles, panels |
| `compact` | 0.8x | 6.4%/hop | 1.36x | 1.86x | electronics, drive_cores, lattice_substrate, consumer_goods, medical_goods |
| `precision` | 0.6x | 4.8%/hop | 1.26x | 1.60x | rare_minerals, lattice_grade_material, implant_hardware |
| `oversized` | 2.0x | 16.0%/hop | 2.10x | 4.41x | heavy_equipment, vehicles, haulers, gate_components, habitat_modules, rail |
| `non_physical` | ∞ | N/A | N/A | N/A | all services |

---

## 4. Validation Rules for `make economy-db`

### Hard failures (build aborts)

| # | Rule | Rationale |
|---|------|-----------|
| V-01 | Every `inputs[].commodity` must exist in commodities.toml | Dangling reference |
| V-02 | Every `output` must exist in commodities.toml | Dangling reference |
| V-03 | Every chain must have ≥ 1 input | Zero-input chain = free production, breaks Leontief |
| V-04 | No commodity may appear as both input and output in the same chain | Self-referential production |
| V-05 | No circular dependencies in the chain graph (topological sort) | Infinite loop in sim |
| V-06 | `base_price > 0` for all commodities | Zero/negative prices break tâtonnement |
| V-07 | `quantity > 0` for all chain inputs and `output_quantity > 0` | Dead inputs |
| V-08 | All enum fields match their allowed values | Typo protection |
| V-09 | No duplicate commodity IDs (TOML-enforced, but validate) | Collision |
| V-10 | Services (`tier = service_*`) must NOT appear as chain inputs or outputs | D-173: services outside production chain |
| V-11 | `panic_threshold_weeks >= 0` | Schema constraint |
| V-12 | `demand_model = "utility"` requires `elasticity` ∈ {perfectly_inelastic, inelastic} | Utility demand can't be highly deferrable |
| V-13 | `demand_model = "compliance"` requires `commission_certified = true` | Compliance demand requires a certifying authority |
| V-14 | Services must have `bulk_class = "non_physical"` | Services can't be transported |
| V-15 | Services must have `unit = "contracts"` | Service unit convention |
| V-16 | Commodity IDs must match pattern `[a-z][a-z0-9_]*` | Slug format for Rust/SQL |

### Soft warnings (build succeeds, prints warning)

| # | Rule | Rationale |
|---|------|-----------|
| W-01 | Every non-service physical commodity SHOULD appear as chain input or chain output | Orphan detection |
| W-02 | Raw tier commodities SHOULD NOT appear as chain outputs | Raws are extracted, not produced |
| W-03 | Final tier commodities SHOULD NOT appear as chain inputs | Finals are end-of-chain |
| W-04 | `shadow_viable = true` SHOULD have `commission_certified = true` OR `compact_contested = true` | Shadow markets arise from regulatory friction |
| W-05 | `production_ubiquity = "monopolistic"` commodities with `elasticity = "inelastic"` SHOULD be reviewed | Monopoly + inelastic = potential runaway pricing |

### Coverage warnings (future — gated by corp data)

| # | Rule | Rationale |
|---|------|-----------|
| C-01 | 3+ corporations per major commodity type (D-175) | Simulation density |
| C-02 | 1+ corporation per inhabited system > 100K population (D-175) | Coverage threshold |

---

## 5. Catalog Totals

| Category | Count | Notes |
|----------|-------|-------|
| Raw materials | 9 | +2 over D-173's ~7: chemical_feedstock (substitution route), lattice_grade_material (east reach anchor) |
| Intermediate goods | 10 | +2 over D-173's ~8: fusion_fuel (water→fuel, locked), lattice_substrate (lattice chain) |
| Final goods | 9 | +2 over D-173's ~7: freight_haulers (distinct demand function), rail_infrastructure (locked) |
| Professional services | 5 | commission_certification (shadow economy mechanism) is the key addition |
| Luxury services | 3 | matches D-173 |
| **Total** | **36** | D-173 target: ~30. Each addition has locked justification. |

### Production chains

| Tier transition | Count | Substitution routes |
|----------------|-------|---------------------|
| Raw → Intermediate | 12 | 2 (chemicals: geological vs biological; panels: timber vs stone) |
| Intermediate → Final | 9 | 0 |
| **Total** | **21** | **2** |

### Panic-flagged commodities

| Commodity | Threshold | Behavior |
|-----------|-----------|----------|
| water | 1 week | Life-or-death hoarding. Demand spikes 3-5x |
| fusion_fuel | 2 weeks | Station emergency reserves. Demand spikes 2-3x |
| processed_food | 2 weeks | Consumer panic buying. Demand spikes 1.5-2x |
| chemicals | 3 weeks | Hospital/industrial stockpiling. Demand spikes 1.5x |

All other commodities: `panic_threshold_weeks = 0` (no panic behavior).

### Key chokepoints

1. **lattice_grade_material → lattice_substrate → implant_hardware + gate_components**: Geographically sparse, no substitute, feeds the two most politically sensitive finals. Single supply disruption cascades to both neural tech AND gate infrastructure.

2. **rare_minerals → electronics / advanced_alloys / drive_cores**: Appears in 3 intermediate chains. Electronics is input to 9 of 9 finals. A rare minerals shortage cascades to the entire manufacturing sector.

3. **water → fusion_fuel + chemicals + processed_food**: Water feeds three intermediate chains (fuel at 8:1, chemicals, food processing). A water shortage simultaneously degrades energy, industrial chemistry, AND food supply. Fuel is the sharpest cascade (8:1 amplification), but the breadth across three chains makes water the single most dangerous raw material disruption. Frontier stations far from ice sources face permanent cost pressure on all three fronts.

### Design notes for sim implementation

**Berth capacity as transport cost modifier:** Station docking/berth capacity is NOT a commodity — renting a berth is a property transaction tied to a specific location. However, berth capacity constrains the transport graph: a station with limited docking has higher effective transport costs (queuing, diversion, wait times). Model this as a per-node modifier on the effective hop cost. Expanding station infrastructure (consuming `habitat_modules`) reduces the modifier. This creates an investment incentive for station expansion without requiring a tradeable "berth" commodity.

**Brand-layer demand:** Brand corporations (Calloway, VGV, thrds, Bífröst Marmor, etc.) appear in the commodity simulation as demand nodes — they purchase raws and intermediates at their local market node. Their output (branded goods) is priced through a separate brand/cultural value system, not through the tâtonnement. Brand revenue appears as a GDP income cluster per system. The brand system is a future DLC deliverable built on top of this commodity foundation.

**Items removed from catalog during review:** `commercial_intelligence` (corporate behavioral advantage, not a tradeable commodity — what does the buyer receive?), `habitation_berths` (property transaction at a specific location, not a commodity flow through the gate network). Both are real economic concepts but belong in other systems.

**Gate energy transmission (Level 3 — mass + data + energy):** Span gates transmit mass, data (the Meridian is a live real-time network — already canon), and energy. Energy-over-gate is a **commercial service offered by Gate Corporation** — NOT an Assembly policy. Gate Corp is an independent monopoly with its own interests; it is not a government body and not Assembly-controlled. The Commission regulates gate infrastructure, but Gate Corp's energy service is a corporate commercial decision.

Implementation: per-node `gate_energy_connected` boolean in systems.db. On-grid nodes get reduced fusion_fuel utility demand (~0.3x baseline — still need backup fuel). Industrial chain inputs are unaffected (smelting still burns fuel per the Leontief recipe). Gate Corp charges a Tractus-denominated service fee. `MARK_PRIMARY` zones default to `gate_energy_connected = false` — the Compact refused Gate Corp energy dependency as a political choice, building independent fusion capacity instead.

Key dynamics: (1) Gate Corp cutting energy to a dependent node spikes that node's fuel demand — nearby Compact systems with surplus fuel capacity become emergency suppliers. The Compact's political independence becomes an economic asset. (2) Gate Corp energy cutoff is a corporate threat, not a government act — no democratic accountability, which is arguably more frightening. (3) fusion_fuel remains a single commodity; the demand differential emerges from subscription status, not from commodity bifurcation.