docs(meta): seal a blind prediction of the wiki seed structure before reading it
Written before opening wiki/, committed first so the prediction is timestamped and cannot be retrofitted once the answer is known. Contamination declared inline: paths already seen this session via generator_sources.py and visual_scenarios.gd are marked [SEEN] and discounted. Scoring rule fixed in advance, with 'load-bearing thing I did not know existed' as the bucket that decides what gets documented. Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
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Claude Opus 5
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# Blind prediction: how the wiki seed data is structured
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**Written 2026-08-20, BEFORE opening `wiki/`.** Committed before the exploration
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pass so the prediction is timestamped and cannot be quietly retrofitted once the
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answer is known. The findings pass writes a separate document; this one is never
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edited after commit.
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## Why this exists
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To measure what a Claude session actually knows about the wiki seed data before
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it starts guessing. The value is the GAP, not the write-up: wrong beliefs predict
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where a future session burns a day, and "didn't know it existed" predicts it
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better than "got it wrong". Jeroen's framing (2026-08-20): misaligned conclusions
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I may already have drawn are themselves valid friction, so this is written as I
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actually believe it, contamination and all.
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## Contamination declared
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This is NOT a naive prediction. During this session I saw real wiki paths without
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opening any of them, via `tooling/generator_sources.py`, `visual_scenarios.gd`
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and CLAUDE.md. Claims resting on those are marked **[SEEN]** — they should be
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discounted as evidence of understanding. Everything else is inference and is
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marked with a confidence level.
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## The claims
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### 1. Location and role
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- `wiki/` sits at the repo root, a sibling of `server/`, `client/`, `docs/`,
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`governance/`. **[SEEN]**
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- It is the AUTHORED source of world content — the "Phase 1 deliverable" CLAUDE.md
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describes ("Wiki content complete — all planets, moons, stations, heightmaps,
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artwork"). **High confidence.**
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- It is a source, never an output: things are generated FROM it into
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`server/data/systems.db`, and the asset-pipeline rule ("edit sources, not the
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DB") means the wiki is one of those sources. **High.**
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### 2. Format
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- Pages are **markdown with YAML frontmatter** — the frontmatter carries the
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machine-read fields, the body carries prose for humans and for in-game wiki/GTTR
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popups. **High**, because `import_economics` reads corp frontmatter **[SEEN]**
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and because `pql` is described as a markdown-vault query tool.
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- It is an **Obsidian-style vault**: `[[wikilinks]]` between pages, tags, and
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`pql backlinks`/`related`/`context` work over it. **Medium-high** — pql's vault
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surface exists and this repo is a pql repo, but I have not confirmed the wiki
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is the indexed vault rather than, say, `governance/`.
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- Alongside markdown there are **TOML data files** for tabular content that is
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awkward as prose — the economics vocabulary/bias tables. **[SEEN]**
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- And **JSON** for name pools (`markers.json`, names-only per D-223). **[SEEN]**
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### 3. Directory shape (the least certain part)
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Predicted top level:
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```
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wiki/
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star-systems/<SYSTEM-ID>/ e.g. GJ-820B (hyphenated) [SEEN]
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bodies/<BODY-ID>/ e.g. GJ820Bc (NOT hyphenated) [SEEN]
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heightmap.png 1024x512 16-bit elevation [SEEN]
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reliefmap.png 1024x512 colour biome [SEEN]
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markers.json names-only city pool [SEEN]
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<body>.md the authored page (guess)
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corporations/*.md + index.md, skipped by the importer [SEEN]
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economics/*.toml vocabulary + bias tables [SEEN]
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```
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- The system-vs-body id spelling differs (`GJ-820B` directory, `GJ820Bc` body).
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**[SEEN]**, and I flag it as a likely papercut: two spellings of the same
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identifier is exactly the kind of thing that costs an hour.
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- **Low confidence** on everything else: whether there are `factions/`,
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`stations/`, `technology/`, `history/`, `culture/` trees; whether bodies nest
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under systems or are flat; whether moons are bodies or a separate kind.
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- I would GUESS there are more content trees than the three I have seen, because
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Phase 1 covers "planets, moons, stations, heightmaps, artwork" and miri's
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worldbuilding brief covers factions/cultures/technology/history — none of which
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appear in the paths I have seen. **Medium.**
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### 4. How it reaches the game
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- One generator: `import_economics` (`make regen-db`), which shells out to
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`generate_brands` first, then reads the TOMLs, the corp pages' frontmatter, and
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the `markers.json` pool, and writes `systems.db`. **[SEEN]**
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- `systems.db` is a committed read-only snapshot the client ships with; the
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wiki is not read at runtime by the game. **High.**
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- The per-body PNGs are read by the SERVER at runtime (the cascade loads
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`heightmap.png` per body), not baked into systems.db. **High** — T-1213's work
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this session read reliefmap.png as the biome input, and heightmap paths resolve
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through a `BodySourceResolver`.
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- So there are TWO consumption paths and they behave differently: **TOML/markdown
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→ build-time → systems.db**, and **PNG → runtime → the cascade**. If that is
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right it is the most important structural fact here, and I do not think it is
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written down in one place. **Medium-high.**
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### 5. What I expect to be load-bearing but under-documented
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- Which frontmatter fields are READ versus decorative. My guess: a small set
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(`corp_specialization`, `headquarters`, `headquarters_body`) is load-bearing and
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most of the page is prose — so an author can add a field that looks meaningful
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and nothing consumes it. **Medium.**
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- The stamp coupling: editing a wiki page that the importer reads must flip the
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`import_economics` meta stamp, or the pre-push hook rejects. Authors of PROSE
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probably do not expect a content edit to require `make regen-db`. **High** —
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`_corporation_pages()` globs all corp pages into the stamped set, so editing
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any corp page's prose stales the DB even if the frontmatter did not change.
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I predict this is a real friction and possibly a real bug (prose-only edits
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forcing a regen).
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- Whether the wiki has a validation gate at all. I predict **no schema
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validation** beyond what the importer happens to require, so a typo'd
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frontmatter key fails silently or at regen time. **Medium.**
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### 6. What I predict I will be wrong about
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- The directory taxonomy — I expect several trees I have not guessed.
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- Whether bodies have their own markdown pages at all, or exist only as DB rows
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plus asset files.
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- The relationship between `wiki/` and `pql`'s vault indexing; I may be assuming
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an Obsidian vault that is really just a folder of files.
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- Whether stations/moons are modelled like planets or differently.
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## Scoring rule, fixed in advance
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Three buckets, and the third is the one that matters:
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1. **Right** — claim confirmed.
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2. **Wrong** — claim contradicted. Cheap: I had a model and it was corrected.
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3. **Absent** — a load-bearing thing I did not know existed. Expensive: this is
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what a future session walks into blind, the same way `relief_q` falling off
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the wire cost eight days this month.
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Artefacts get aimed at bucket 3 first, then at bucket 2 where the existing docs
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are actively WRONG rather than merely missing.
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